Likelihood Ratio Research Articles

Change in Lumbar Lordosis after Decompressive Surgery in Lumbar Spinal Stenosis Patients and Associations with Patient Related Outcomes 2 Years after Surgery. Radiological and Clinical Results from the NORDSTEN Spinal Stenosis Trial.

A prospective cohort study. The aim was to investigate changes in lumbar lordosis (LL) and its association to changes in patient reported outcome measures (PROMs) after decompressive surgery for lumbar spinal stenosis (LSS). Few studies have addressed change in LL after decompression surgery for LSS in relation to outcomes. Pre- and postoperative data from 310 patients having standing x-ray both before and 2 years after surgery were included. The patients were grouped based on the change in LL preoperatively to 2 years after surgery; group 1: <5 degrees (n=196), group 2: ≥5 <10 degrees (n=55) or group 3: ≥10 degrees (n=59) of change in LL. The changes in function, disability and pain were assessed by the Oswestry Disability Index (ODI), Numeric Rating Scale (NRS), and the Zurich claudication questionnaire (ZCQ). The three groups were compared regarding baseline variables using the ANOVA test for continuous variables and the chi-square test for categorical variables. The groups were further compared with a likelihood ratio test in relation to changes in PROMs 2 year after surgery and outcomes were adjusted for respective baseline PROMs, age, sex, smoking, BMI, Schizas and Pfirrmann scores. LL was significantly changed at group level 2 years after surgery with a mean difference of 2.2 (SD 9.4) degrees ( P =0.001). The three LL change groups did not show any significant differences in patient characteristics, function, disability, and pain at baseline. The two groups with a change of more than 5 degrees in LL 2 year after surgery (group 2 and 3) had significantly greater improvements in ODI ( P =0.022) and ZCQ function ( P =0.016) in the adjusted analyses, but was not significant for back and leg pain. Changed LL after decompressive surgery for LSS was associated with improved ODI and physical function.

Constrained inference in scaled mixed effects models with applications to London Junior School Project data

Multiple outcomes arise frequently in many different settings. Mixed effect models are a useful tool for the analyses of such data. However, when outcomes are measured on different scales, analyses based on any one scale are misleading. Often parameters of the model are subject to known order restrictions. To incorporate heterogeneity across different outcomes, we propose a scaled linear mixed effect model. To estimate parameters, we propose a maximum likelihood estimation procedure based on a restricted version of the expectation-conditional maximization either algorithm. Constrained hypotheses testing procedures are developed using likelihood ratio tests. The empirical significance levels and powers are studied using simulations. This article shows that incorporating the restrictions improves the mean squared errors of the estimates and the power of the tests. The methodology is applied on the London Junior School Project data incorporating known restrictions of patterns of scores. Journal of Statistical Research 2023, Vol 57, No.1-2, pp.81-94

A STOCHASTIC MODEL FOR LENGTH BIASED LOAI DISTRIBUTION WITH PROPERTIES AND ITS APPLICATIONS

One of the most important applications of statistical analysis is in health research and application. Cancer studies are mostly required special statistical considerations in order to find the appropriate model for fitting the survival data. In this paper, we examine some general models leading to a weighted distribution. The developed distribution, also known as the length biased model, is referred to as the length biased Loai distribution. This distribution is a specific type of basic distribution, the Loai distribution. The length biased distribution has been compared with the original distribution. Some statistical properties of this distribution are derived, such as moments, the moment generating function, the reliability analysis, and the included functions. Also, the distribution of order statistics, quantile function, and likelihood ratio test are presented. The Bonferroni and Lorenz carvers, as well as the Rnyi and Tsallis entropies, are derived. The method of maximum likelihood estimation is used to estimate the distribution parameters. A simulation study is performed to investigate the performance of the estimation. The real data applications demonstrate that the proposed distribution can provide better results than several well-known distributions.

Risk Assessment Models for Venous Thromboembolism in Medical Inpatients

Thromboprophylaxis is recommended for medical inpatients at risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Risk assessment models (RAMs) have been developed to stratify VTE risk, but a prospective head-to-head comparison of validated RAMs is lacking. To prospectively validate an easy-to-use RAM, the simplified Geneva score, and compare its prognostic performance with previously validated RAMs. This prospective cohort study was conducted from June 18, 2020, to January 4, 2022, with a 90-day follow-up. A total of 4205 consecutive adults admitted to the general internal medicine departments of 3 Swiss university hospitals for hospitalization for more than 24 hours due to acute illness were screened for eligibility; 1352 without therapeutic anticoagulation were included. At admission, items of 4 RAMs (ie, the simplified and original Geneva score, the Padua score, and the IMPROVE [International Medical Prevention Registry on Venous Thromboembolism] score) were collected. Patients were stratified into high and low VTE risk groups according to each RAM. Symptomatic VTE within 90 days. Of 1352 medical inpatients (median age, 67 years [IQR, 54-77 years]; 762 men [55.4%]), 28 (2.1%) experienced VTE. Based on the simplified Geneva score, 854 patients (63.2%) were classified as high risk, with a 90-day VTE risk of 2.6% (n = 22; 95% CI, 1.7%-3.9%), and 498 patients (36.8%) were classified as low risk, with a 90-day VTE risk of 1.2% (n = 6; 95% CI, 0.6%-2.6%). Sensitivity of the simplified Geneva score was 78.6% (95% CI, 60.5%-89.8%) and specificity was 37.2% (95% CI, 34.6%-39.8%); the positive likelihood ratio of the simplified Geneva score was 1.25 (95% CI, 1.03-1.52) and the negative likelihood ratio was 0.58 (95% CI, 0.28-1.18). In head-to-head comparisons, sensitivity was highest for the original Geneva score (82.1%; 95% CI, 64.4%-92.1%), while specificity was highest for the IMPROVE score (70.4%; 95% CI, 67.9%-72.8%). After adjusting the VTE risk for thromboprophylaxis use and site, there was no significant difference between the high-risk and low-risk groups based on the simplified Geneva score (subhazard ratio, 2.04 [95% CI, 0.83-5.05]; P = .12) and other RAMs. Discriminative performance was poor for all RAMs, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve ranging from 53.8% (95% CI, 51.1%-56.5%) for the original Geneva score to 58.1% (95% CI, 55.4%-60.7%) for the simplified Geneva score. This head-to-head comparison of validated RAMs found suboptimal accuracy and prognostic performance of the simplified Geneva score and other RAMs to predict hospital-acquired VTE in medical inpatients. Clinical usefulness of existing RAMs is questionable, highlighting the need for more accurate VTE prediction strategies.

Clinicopathological and Molecular Analysis of Aqueous Humor for the Diagnosis of Feline Infectious Peritonitis

Background: This study was designed to assess the diagnostic utility for FIP of cytology, protein measurement and RT-PCR for feline coronaviruses (FCoV) on aqueous humor (AH), since little information is currently available. Methods: AH samples (n = 85) were collected post-mortem from 13 cats with effusive FIP (E-FIP), 15 with non-effusive FIP (NE-FIP) and 16 without FIP, to perform cytology (n = 83) and RT-PCR (n = 66) and to calculate their sensitivity, specificity and positive and negative likelihood ratios (LR+ and LR−). The protein concentration was measured on 80 fluids. Results: The proportion of RT-PCR positive samples did not differ among groups, while positive cytology was more frequent in samples with FIP (p = 0.042) or positive RT-PCR (p = 0.007). Compared with other groups, the protein concentration was higher in samples with NE-FIP (p = 0.017), positive RT-PCR (p = 0.005) or positive cytology (p &lt; 0.001). The specificity of cytology together with RT-PCR, cytology alone, RT-PCR alone and cytological proteinaceous background were 90.0%, 84.6%, 70.0%, 61.5%, and the LRs 3.48, 2.65, 1.83, 1.64, respectively. However, their sensitivities were low (34.8–63.0%) and their LR− high (0.60–0.72). Conclusions: Based on the LR+, cytology and/or RT-PCR may support the diagnosis when the pre-test probability of FIP is high. The concentration of intraocular protein is a promising marker, especially in NE-FIP.

Performance of the non-invasive point-of-care device, EzeCheck, for haemoglobin assessment in adults and children in community and institutional care settings.

Anaemia is a major public health problem, especially in resource constrained settings. Dependency on assessment of blood hemoglobin (Hgb) concentration impedes anemia detection, risk stratification and intervention. Thus, valid, frugal and scalable technologies are needed. EzeCheck is a noninvasive portable device developed in India for predicting hemoglobin levels in human beings aged 4 years and above using a finger-tip biosensor. In this assessment, we aimed to: (i) evaluate EzeCheck's performance with an automated whole blood hemato-analyzer (Sysmex XN 1000) as the gold standard, and (ii) estimate EzeCheck's agreement with Sahli's method and HemoCue (Hb-301) in real-world primary and higher care facilities. Paired assessments were done at five sites across India i.e., Bhubaneshwar, Shimla, Solan and Mashobra and Ulhasnagar. Participants across all age groups (4 years and above) were assessed. We used a range of statistical tests to evaluate the performance of EzeCheck. It was found that EzeCheck performed well across age and gender categories with convincing validity, concordance, precision and accuracy, and acceptable bias. While comparing EzeCheck with Hemato-analyzer, no statistically significant systematic bias was found. However, EzeCheck showed significant systematic bias when compared to Sahli's method and HemoCue. We concluded that EzeCheck could detect anemia (as per WHO Hgb cut-offs) in 'real-world settings' and 'across age and gender categories', with high sensitivity, specificity and accuracy, and can serve as a replacement to traditional methods of hemoglobin assessment. Further, for countries with higher prevalence of anemia where universal screening may be mandated, the positive predictive value of EzeCheck will be higher. The likelihood ratios also indicated that the device had moderate-to-good utility. EzeCheck is suitable for embedment into program and out-patient health care settings in resource constrained contexts as a spot-check hemoglobinometer.

Increased [18F]Fluorodeoxyglucose Uptake in the Left Pallidum in Military Veterans with Blast-Related Mild Traumatic Brain Injury: Potential as an Imaging Biomarker and Mediation with Executive Dysfunction and Cognitive Impairment.

Blast-related mild traumatic brain injury (blast-mTBI) can result in a spectrum of persistent symptoms leading to substantial functional impairment and reduced quality of life. Clinical evaluation and discernment from other conditions common to military service can be challenging and subject to patient recall bias and the limitations of available assessment measures. The need for objective biomarkers to facilitate accurate diagnosis, not just for symptom management and rehabilitation but for prognostication and disability compensation purposes is clear. Toward this end, we compared regional brain [18F]fluorodeoxyglucose-positron emission tomography ([18F]FDG-PET) intensity-scaled uptake measurements and motor, neuropsychological, and behavioral assessments in 79 combat Veterans with retrospectively recalled blast-mTBI with 41 control participants having no lifetime history of TBI. Using an agnostic and unbiased approach, we found significantly increased left pallidum [18F]FDG-uptake in Veterans with blast-mTBI versus control participants, p < 0.0001; q = 3.29 × 10-9 [Cohen's d, 1.38, 95% confidence interval (0.96, 1.79)]. The degree of left pallidum [18F]FDG-uptake correlated with the number of self-reported blast-mTBIs, r2 = 0.22; p < 0.0001. Greater [18F]FDG-uptake in the left pallidum provided excellent discrimination between Veterans with blast-mTBI and controls, with a receiver operator characteristic area under the curve of 0.859 (p < 0.0001) and likelihood ratio of 21.19 (threshold:SUVR ≥ 0.895). Deficits in executive function assessed using the Behavior Rating Inventory of Executive Function-Adult Global Executive Composite T-score were identified in Veterans with blast-mTBI compared with controls, p < 0.0001. Regression-based mediation analyses determined that in Veterans with blast-mTBI, increased [18F]FDG-uptake in the left pallidum-mediated executive function impairments, adjusted causal mediation estimate p = 0.021; total effect estimate, p = 0.039. Measures of working and prospective memory (Auditory Consonant Trigrams test and Memory for Intentions Test, respectively) were negatively correlated with left pallidum [18F]FDG-uptake, p < 0.0001, with mTBI as a covariate. Increased left pallidum [18F]FDG-uptake in Veterans with blast-mTBI compared with controls did not covary with dominant handedness or with motor activity assessed using the Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale. Localized increased [18F]FDG-uptake in the left pallidum may reflect a compensatory response to functional deficits following blast-mTBI. Limited imaging resolution does not allow us to distinguish subregions of the pallidum; however, the significant correlation of our data with behavioral but not motor outcomes suggests involvement of the ventral pallidum, which is known to regulate motivation, behavior, and emotions through basal ganglia-thalamo-cortical circuits. Increased [18F]FDG-uptake in the left pallidum in blast-mTBI versus control participants was consistently identified using two different PET scanners, supporting the generalizability of this finding. Although confirmation of our results by single-subject-to-cohort analyses will be required before clinical deployment, this study provides proof of concept that [18F]FDG-PET bears promise as a readily available noninvasive biomarker for blast-mTBI. Further, our findings support a causative relationship between executive dysfunction and increased [18F]FDG-uptake in the left pallidum.

Validity of Umbilical Cord Blood Procalcitonin in the Diagnosis of Early-Onset Neonatal Infection.

Early-onset neonatal infection (EONI) poses significant risks to neonatal health, necessitating reliable diagnostic markers for early detection. This study aims to evaluate the diagnostic validity of procalcitonin (PCT) concentration in umbilical cord blood as a biomarker for EONI. This prospective study was conducted at Ho Chi Minh University Medical Center from April 2022 to September 2022. The PCT level was measured in umbilical cord blood at birth. Based on clinical, laboratory, and microbiologic results, neonates were classified into infected and non-infected groups. One hundred eighty neonates with risk factors for EONI were recruited. Among the neonates studied, 22 (12.2%) were classified as infected and 158 (87.8%) as non-infected by the classification criteria of clinical manifestations, laboratory tests, and blood culture. The median PCT in the infected group was significantly higher than that in the non-infected group (0.389 ng/mL vs. 0.127 ng/mL, p = 0.007). The optimal PCT cut-off was found by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) to be 0.23 ng/mL, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.87. The results were 59.1%, 98.7%, 86.2%, 94%, 45, and 0.41 for sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and positive and negative likelihood ratios, respectively. The post-test probability was 86% if the test was positive and 5% if it was negative. Umbilical cord blood PCT might be a reliable marker in the diagnosis of EONI, and its value helps limit the harmful effects of unnecessary prescriptions in non-infected neonates. However, considering the low sensitivity of procalcitonin, further research is necessary to fully integrate this biomarker into clinical practice.

Evaluating the Effect of Decreasing Preoperative Hemoglobin on Blood Transfusions, Major Complications, and Periprosthetic Joint Infection After Primary Total Knee Arthroplasty.

Preoperative anemia is associated with increased postoperative transfusion and complication rates after total knee arthroplasty (TKA). We aimed to create TKA-specific data-driven preoperative hemoglobin strata that quantify the likelihood of 90-day postoperative blood transfusion and evaluate whether these strata are associated with increased risk of 90-day major complications and 2-year prosthetic joint infection (PJI). Primary TKA patients from 2013 to 2022 were identified using a national database. Stratum-specific likelihood ratio (SSLR) analysis defined hemoglobin strata associated with the risk of 90-day blood transfusion. Each stratum was propensity score matched to the highest identified hemoglobin strata. Unmatched incidence rates and matched risk of 90-day major complications and 2-year PJI between strata were compared. SSLR identified four 90-day blood transfusion hemoglobin strata for men (strata [g/dL], likelihood ratio [<11.4, 8.06; 11.5 to 11.9, 4.34; 12.0 to 12.9, 1.70; 13.0 to 17.0, 0.54]) and women (<10.4, 8.22; 10.5 to 11.4, 2.84; 11.5 to 12.4, 1.38; 12.5 to 17.0, 0.50). Increased 2-year PJI risk was associated with three male strata (<11.4, 11.5 to 11.9, 12.0 to 12.9; all P < 0.001) and three female strata (<10.4, 10.5 to 11.4, 11.5 to 12.4; all P < 0.001). Increased 90-day major complication risk was associated with three male strata (<11.4, 11.5 to 11.9, 12.0 to 12.9; all P < 0.001) and three female strata (<10.4, 10.5 to 11.4, 11.5 to 12.4; all P < 0.001). Using SSLR analysis, we identified unique TKA-specific data-driven hemoglobin strata for both men and women that quantify the likelihood of 90-day blood transfusions and predict the risk of both 90-day major complications and 2-year PJI. These strata are a first in the TKA literature and can assist surgeons in stratifying patients' transfusion and complication risk based on their preoperative hemoglobin value. While optimizing patients in the preoperative setting, we recommend using these TKA-specific hemoglobin thresholds to help guide decision making on the need for presurgery anemia optimization and to help reduce the need for blood transfusion.

Plasma mtDNA as a possible contributor to and biomarker of inflammation in rheumatoid arthritis

ObjectivesNeutrophil extracellular trap formation and cell-free DNA (cfDNA) contribute to the inflammation in rheumatoid arthritis (RA), but it is unknown if mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) or nuclear DNA (nDNA) is more abundant in the circulation. It is unclear if DNA concentration measurements may assist in clinical decision-making.MethodsThis single-center prospective observational study collected plasma from consecutive RA patients and healthy blood donors. Platelets were removed, and mtDNA and nDNA copy numbers were quantified by polymerase chain reaction (PCR).ResultsOne hundred six RA patients and 85 healthy controls (HC) were recruited. Circulating median mtDNA copy numbers were increased 19.4-fold in the plasma of patients with RA (median 1.1 x108 copies/mL) compared to HC (median 5.4 x106 copies/mL, p<0.0001). Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis of mtDNA copy numbers identified RA patients with high sensitivity (92.5%) and specificity (89.4%) with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.97, p <0.0001 and a positive likelihood ratio of 8.7.Demographic, serological (rheumatoid factor (RF) positivity, anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPA) positivity) and treatment factors were not associated with DNA concentrations. mtDNA plasma concentrations, however, correlated significantly with disease activity score-28- erythrocyte sedimentation rate (DAS28-ESR) and increased numerically with increasing DAS28-ESR and clinical disease activity index (CDAI) activity. MtDNA copy numbers also discriminated RA in remission (DAS28 <2.6) from HC (p<0.0001). Also, a correlation was observed between mtDNA and the ESR (p = 0.006, R= 0.29). Similar analyses showed no significance for nDNA.ConclusionIn contrast to nDNA, mtDNA is significantly elevated in the plasma of RA patients compared with HC. Regardless of RA activity, the abundance of circulating mtDNA is a sensitive discriminator between RA patients and HC. Further validation of the diagnostic value of mtDNA testing is required.

What do we really know about vital pulp therapy?

Retrospective cohort study using STROBE cohort reporting guidelines. Patients from Mehr Dental Clinic in Tehran, Iran, who received different types of vital pulp therapy (VPT) by a single endodontist, due to carious pulpal exposure, between April 2011 and October 2022. These were: Full Pulpotomy (FP), Miniature Pulpotomy (MP) and Direct Pulp Capping (DPC). Data were accessed via the dental clinic's electronic database. Patients were deemed eligible if they had pulpal exposure due to caries, but not trauma. Pre-operative, immediate post-operative and at least one follow-up radiograph at a minimum 3-month interval were required. Demographic, diagnostic, and procedural data as well as informed consent were also required. Teeth with probing depths greater than 4 mm or pulpal necrosis were excluded. Patient, tooth and treatment factors were statistically analysed for an outcome of success or failure using a Cox proportional hazards model. Kaplan/Meier curves were used to establish the mean survival times. The Log-rank test was used to compare survival across the three treatment groups. The Omnibus test of model and the -2 log likelihood ratio (-2LL) were used to assess sensitivity and model fitness. Statistical analyses were determined using the IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows Version 21.0, with P value set at <0.05. 1257 VPTs from 1149 patients had complete data and were used in the analysis. 802 cases were excluded due to no follow up radiograph. The VPT cases were divided into FP (n = 272), MP (n = 217) and DPC (n = 768). The average follow up was 42.21 months, with an overall 116-month survival rate of 99.1% and success rate of 91.6%. FP had a mean survival time of 99.43 months; for MP it was 104.26 months; for DPC it was 102.27 months. There were no significant differences between these groups (P = 0.363). There were statistically significant correlations between symptomatic Irreversible Periodontitis (IP), radiographic signs of Apical Periodontitis (AP), restoration type, restoration surfaces and the outcome of VPT. This is one of the largest cohort studies of its kind, with over 1250 cases of various VPT techniques in 10 years. There was deviation from gold standard practice, with lack of rubber dam. A lack of haemostasis after 2 min could be construed as bacterially infected pulpal tissue and require further resection of pulp. Yet, these approaches still resulted in successful outcomes. Another interesting finding was that symptomatic IP with associated AP was treated with VPT, with a 78% success rate. Considering this study and other emerging evidence in the literature, application of VPT as an alternative to conventional Root Canal Treatment could be adopted in general practice, depending on the skills and knowledge of the practitioner and patient preferences.

Diagnostic accuracy of pancreatic stone protein in patients with sepsis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BackgroundSepsis is a common syndrome of multiorgan system dysfunction secondary to the dysregulated inflammatory response to infection. The role of pancreatic stone protein (PSP) in diagnosing sepsis has been investigated in previous studies. The meta-analysis aimed to comprehensively investigate the diagnostic value of PSP in identifying sepsis.MethodsPubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane Library, and China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), were systematically searched. Studies investigating the diagnostic performance of PSP were included. Pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive Likelihood Ratio (+ LR) and negative Likelihood Ratio (-LR), diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), and area under the curve (AUC) of summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) were calculated.ResultsThe sensitivity of PSP was 0.88 (95% CI: 0.77–0.94), and the pooled specificity was 0.78 (95% CI: 0.65–0.87). Pooled + LR, -LR, and DOR were 4.1 (2.3, 7.3), 0.16 (0.07, 0.34), and 26 (7, 98). The AUC value for the SROC of PSP was 0.90 (0.87, 0.92). The pooled sensitivity, specificity, + LR and - LR, and DOR for PSP among neonates were 0.91 (95% CI: 0.84, 0.96), 0.66 (95% CI: 0.58, 0.74), 3.97 (95% CI: 0.53, 29.58), 0.13 (95% CI: 0.02, 1.00), and 31.27 (95% CI: 0.97, 1004.60).ConclusionsThis study indicates that PSP demonstrated favorable diagnostic accuracy in detecting sepsis. Well-designed studies are warranted to ascertain the value of PSP measurement to guide early empirical antibiotic treatment, particularly in neonates.

Diagnostic performance of the bioline dengue duo rapid test on symptomatic patients assisted at Armed Forces Hospital (Hfa) in Brasília, Brazil.

Dengue necessitates accurate diagnosis. Rapid tests such as Bioline™ DENGUE DUO have gained traction, but validation in specific populations is essential. This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the Bioline™ test, alongside assessing the socio-epidemiological profile of symptomatic patients in a Brasília Military Hospital. The serum of 404 symptomatic patients was analyzed by the Bioline™ DENGUE DUO test, followed by Dengue virus detection and discrimination of the four serotypes by RT-qPCR. Accuracy was assessed using parameters including sensitivity (S), specificity (E), positive and negative predictive values (PPV and NPV), and positive (RV +) and negative (RV-) likelihood ratios. The NS1 component exhibited a sensitivity of 70.37%, a specificity of 97.30%, and an overall efficiency of 90.10% when compared to RT-qPCR as the gold standard. The IgM component demonstrated a sensitivity of 26.85%, a specificity of 89.53%, and an overall efficiency of 72.77% when compared to RT-qPCR as the gold standard. The IgG component demonstrated a sensitivity of 23.15%, a specificity of 68.92%, and an overall efficiency of 56.68% when compared to RT-qPCR as the gold standard. Several rapid tests are commercially available. However, considering variations across regions and demographic groups, it is important to question their accuracy in specific populations. Rapid tests are important screening tools, but they can have limitations for the certainty of diagnosis. Bioline™ DENGUE DUO displayed good specificity, but sensitivity was slightly below optimal levels. While helpful for confirming dengue, improvements are needed to effectively rule out the disease.

Preoperative prediction power of radiomics and non-radiomics methods based on MRI for early recurrence in hepatocellular carcinoma: a systemic review and meta-analysis.

To compare radiomics and non-radiomics in predicting early recurrence (ER) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative surgery. We systematically searched PubMed and Embase databases. Studies with clear reference criteria were selected. Data were extracted and assessed for quality using the quality in prognosis studies tool (QUIPS)by two independent authors. All included radiomics studies underwent radiomics quality score (RQS) assessment. We calculated sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), and negative likelihood ratio (NLR) using random or fixed models with a 95%CI. Forest maps visualized the data, and summary receiver operating characteristic (sROC) curves with the area under the curve (AUC) were generated. Meta-regression and subgroup analyses explored sources of heterogeneity. We compared sensitivity, specificity, PLR, and NLR using the z-test and compared AUC values using the Delong test. Our meta-analysis included 10 studies comprising 1857 patients. For radiomics, the pooled sensitivity, specificity, AUC of sROC, PLR and NLR were 0.84(95%CI: 0.78-0.89), 0.80(95%CI: 0.75-0.85), 0.89(95%CI: 0.86-0.91), 4.28(95%CI: 3.48-5.27) and 0.20(95%CI: 0.14-0.27), respectively, but with significant heterogeneity (I2 = 60.78% for sensitivity, I2 = 55.79% for specificity) and potential publication bias (P = 0.04). The pooled sensitivity, specificity, AUC of sROC, PLR, NLR for non-radiomics were 0.75(95%CI:0.68-0.81), 0.78(95%CI:0.72-0.83), 0.83(95%CI: 0.80-0.86), 3.45(95%CI: 2.68-4.44) and 0.32(95%CI: 0.24-0.41), respectively. There was no significant heterogeneity in this group (I2 = 0% for sensitivity, I2 = 17.27% for specificity). Radiomics showed higher diagnostic accuracy (AUC: 0.89 vs. 0.83, P = 0.0456), higher sensitivity (0.84 vs. 0.75, P = 0.0385) and lower NLR (0.20 vs. 0.32, P = 0.0287). The radiomics from preoperative MRI effectively predicts ER of HCC and has higher diagnostic accuracy than non-radiomics. Due to potential publication bias and suboptimal RQS scores in radiomics, these results should be interpreted cautiously.

The Diagnostic Performance of 2-[18F]FDG PET/CT in Identifying Richter Transformation in Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia: An Updated Systematic Review and Bivariate Meta-Analysis.

Richter transformation is a rare phenomenon characterized by the transformation of cell chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) into a more aggressive lymphoma variant. The early identification of CLLs with a high risk of RT is fundamental. In this field, 2-deoxy-2-[18F]-fluoro-D-glucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (2-[18F]FDG PET/CT) has been shown to be a non-invasive and promising tool, but apparently, unclear data seem to be present in the literature. This systematic review and bivariate meta-analysis aimed to investigate the diagnostic performance of 2-[18F]FDG PET/CT and its parameters in predicting RT. Between 2006 and 2024, 15 studies were published on this topic, including 1593 CLL patients. Among semiquantitative variables, SUVmax was the most investigated, and the best threshold derived for detecting RT was five. With this cut-off value, a pooled sensitivity of 86.8% (95% CI: 78.5-93.3), a pooled specificity of 48.1% (95% CI: 27-69.9), a pooled negative predictive value of 90.5% (95% CI: 88.4-92.4), a pooled negative likelihood ratio of 0.35 (95% CI: 0.17-0.70), a pooled positive likelihood ratio of 1.8 (95% CI: 1.3-2.4), and a pooled diagnostic odds ratio of 6.7 (3.5-12.5) were obtained. With a higher cut-off (SUVmax = 10), the specificity increased while the sensitivity reduced. The other metabolic features, like metabolic tumor volume, total lesion glycolysis, and radiomic features, were only marginally investigated with controversial evidence.

The additional value of 68Ga-PSMA PET/CT SUVmax in predicting ISUP GG ≥ 2 and ISUP GG ≥ 3 prostate cancer in biopsy.

Prebiopsy magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) increases the detection rate of clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa). Prostate-specific membrane antigen-positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PSMA PET/CT) maximum standardized uptake value(SUVmax) of the prostate may offer additional value in predicting the likelihood of csPCa in biopsy. A single-center cohort study involving patients with biopsy-proven PCa who underwent both MRI and PSMA PET/CT between 2020 and 2021. Logistic regression models were developed for International Society of Urological Pathology (ISUP) Grade Group (GG) ≥ 2 and GG ≥ 3 using noninvasive prebiopsy parameters: age, (log-)prostate-specific antigen (PSA) density, PI-RADS 5 lesion presence, extraprostatic extension (EPE) on MRI, and SUVmax of the prostate. Models with and without SUVmax were compared using Likelihood ratio tests and area under the curve (AUC). DeLong's test was used to compare the AUCs. The study included 386 patients, with 262 (68%) having ISUP GG ≥ 2 and 180 (47%) having ISUP GG ≥ 3. Including SUVmax significantly improved both models' goodness of fit (p < 0.001). The GG ≥ 2 model had a higher AUC with SUVmax 89.16% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 86.06%-92.26%) than without 87.34% (95% CI: 83.93%-90.76%) (p = 0.026). Similarly, the GG ≥ 3 model had a higher AUC with SUVmax 82.51% (95% CI: 78.41%-86.6%) than without 79.33% (95% CI: 74.84%-83.83%) (p = 0.003). The SUVmax inclusion improved the GG ≥ 3 model's calibration at higher probabilities. SUVmax of the prostate on PSMA PET/CT potentially improves diagnostic accuracy in predicting the likelihood of csPCa in prostate biopsy.

88 Ruminal degradation profiles of dry matter, organic matter, and crude protein of finishing diets with different levels of inclusion of dried distiller’s grains plus solubles and soybean meal

Abstract The objective of this study was to estimate the ruminal degradation profile of dry matter (DM), organic matter (OM), and crude protein (CP) in concentrate-based diets with different levels of inclusion of dried distiller’s grains plus solubles (DDGS) and soybean meal (SBM). Red Angus steers [n = 4; body weight (BW) = 360 ± 9 kg] with ruminal, duodenal, and ileal cannulas, were used in a 4 × 4 latin square. Diets (TMR) consisted of dry-rolled corn (70%), hay (10%), liquid supplement (5%), and test ingredients (15%). Treatments were (DM basis): 1) 15.0% DDGS (CON); SBM in replacement of 50% of DDGS (SBM50); SBM in replacement of 75% of DDGS (SBM75), and SBM in replacement of 100% of DDGS (SBM100). Each period lasted 18-d, consisting of a 7-d diet adaptation followed by an 11-d collection period. An in situ ruminal incubation of each TMR was performed from d 8 to 11 of each period. Ingredients were weighed separately, maintaining their proportion in the TMR. Air-dried TMR sample (6 g, 2 mm grind) was ruminally incubated in a nylon bag (Ankom, 10 × 20 cm) using the same steer from the in vivo study. Samples were incubated for 0, 2, 4, 8, 16, 24, 48, and 72 h. The number of bags varied as a function of the incubation time to guarantee enough residual samples after incubation, where more bags per sample were incubated for the longer incubation times relative to the shorter incubation times (72 and 48 h, n = 5; 24 h, n = 4; 16 h, n = 3; 8 h and 4 h, n = 2; 2 h and 0 h, n = 1). DM, OM, and CP degradation were estimated by using the following model: Yt = a + b × (1 − e(−kd × t)), The NLIN procedure of SAS 9.4 was used and restricted and full models were compared by a likelihood ratio test. Rumen degradable protein (RDP) of each TMR was calculated as follows: RDP = a + b + [kd/(kd + kp)], where kp was 0.05 h−1). There were no differences (P ≥ 0.47) on the fractions a, b, and kd, or RDP (55%) between treatments for DM, OM, and CP. According to our analysis, approximately 13 h of incubation is necessary to accurately estimate the RDP content of the TMR. The NASEM (2016) adopts 35 and 75% of RDP for DDGS and SBM, respectively, based on fixed incubation time of 16 h. Most studies have evaluated degradation profiles of individual feed and not TMR; however, animals are fed complete diets, made up by feedstuff that vary in physical characteristics, nutrient composition, and consequently RDP. In this study, the similar degradation profiles between diets suggest that RDP of complete diets differs from that of individually assayed ingredients.

Screening value of lung ultrasound and pleural shear wave elastography in connective tissue disease-related interstitial lung disease: a preliminary study.

To explore the diagnostic value of lung ultrasound (LUS) and pleural shear wave elastography (SWE) for connective tissue disease-interstitial lung disease (CTD-ILD). We selected 104 patients diagnosed with connective tissue disease (CTD) at our hospital. All patients underwent LUS, SWE, and high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT). With HRCT as the imaging gold standard for diagnosis, patients were categorized into CTD-ILD and CTD-non-ILD groups. We employed paired chi-square tests to compare the diagnostic differences between HRCT and LUS for ILD. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to assess the diagnostic value of pleural SWE for ILD. Correlation analysis was performed between pleural elasticity values and lung ultrasound scores. The sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio, and negative likelihood ratio of LUS for diagnosing CTD-ILD were 93.3%, 86.2%, 6.761, and 0.078, respectively. There was no statistically significant difference in the results between HRCT and LUS (P = 1.000), with a kappa value of 0.720 (P < 0.001). There was a statistically significant difference in the pleural elasticity in the bilateral lower back region between the case and control groups (P < 0.001). The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) for pleural SWE in diagnosing CTD-ILD was 0.685. In CTD-ILD patients, there was no significant correlation between pleural elasticity values and LUS scores (P > 0.05). The LUS can serve as an important imaging method for screening for CTD-ILD and assessing the severity of the disease. However, pleural SWE has been shown to demonstrate lower diagnostic efficacy for CTD-ILD, and its ability to assess disease severity is limited.

Statistical design and analysis of controlled human malaria infection trials

BackgroundMalaria is a potentially life-threatening disease caused by Plasmodium protozoa transmitted by infected Anopheles mosquitoes. Controlled human malaria infection (CHMI) trials are used to assess the efficacy of interventions for malaria elimination. The operating characteristics of statistical methods for assessing the ability of interventions to protect individuals from malaria is uncertain in small CHMI studies. This paper presents simulation studies comparing the performance of a variety of statistical methods for assessing efficacy of intervention in CHMI trials.MethodsTwo types of CHMI designs were investigated: the commonly used single high-dose design (SHD) and the repeated low-dose design (RLD), motivated by simian immunodeficiency virus (SIV) challenge studies. In the context of SHD, the primary efficacy endpoint is typically time to infection. Using a continuous time survival model, five statistical tests for assessing the extent to which an intervention confers partial or full protection under single dose CHMI designs were evaluated. For RLD, the primary efficacy endpoint is typically the binary infection status after a specific number of challenges. A discrete time survival model was used to study the characteristics of RLD versus SHD challenge studies.ResultsIn a SHD study with the continuous time survival model, log-rank test and t-test are the most powerful and provide more interpretable results than Wilcoxon rank-sum tests and Lachenbruch tests, while the likelihood ratio test is uniformly most powerful but requires knowledge of the underlying probability model. In the discrete time survival model setting, SHDs are more powerful for assessing the efficacy of an intervention to prevent infection than RLDs. However, additional information can be inferred from RLD challenge designs, particularly using a likelihood ratio test.ConclusionsDifferent statistical methods can be used to analyze controlled human malaria infection (CHMI) experiments, and the choice of method depends on the specific characteristics of the experiment, such as the sample size allocation between the control and intervention groups, and the nature of the intervention. The simulation results provide guidance for the trade off in statistical power when choosing between different statistical methods and study designs.

Bottom‐bounce ray angle subspace detector in the shadow zone of deep water

AbstractPassive source detection is a challenging problem in the shadow zone, where the sound is contributed primarily by bottom‐bounce rays. The conventional beamforming detector (CBFD), which utilises the sound energy from a single direction, suffers potential significant performance degradation in the multipath‐signal scenario. The matched field detector (MFD) offers optimal performance by exploiting full‐wave field characteristics but is limited due to its reliance on prior ocean environmental knowledge. The authors demonstrate that the incident sound on a near‐surface vertical line array in the shadow zone can be approximated as a coherent sum of two plane waves that share a symmetric arrival angle about the horizontal. This leads to the signal subspace depending only on the arrival angle, which the authors call the bottom‐bounce ray angle subspace (BRAS). With generalised likelihood ratio test theory, the authors further derive the BRAS detector (BRASD). It can utilise the full signal energy under the premise of weak environmental knowledge requirements and is generally superior to the CBFD. Simulation results in a typical deep‐water channel under different source‐position and array configuration conditions demonstrate the effectiveness of the BRASD and suggest that it can even offer a performance comparable to that of the MFD under specific conditions.